LINK’s Rally Runs Into a $0.16 Gap at Its 200-Day EMA

 

By Abhinav Tewari // August 17, 2026 @ 10:33 AM Make AlphaWire Logo preferred on Google News
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Points of Focus

  • LINK trades at $9.40, up roughly 12.3% over the past week.
  • Only the 200-day EMA and Hull MA remain as resistance overhead.
  • The relative strength index sits at 69.48, approaching overbought.

 

Chainlink (LINK) trades at $9.40, up 0.21% on the day, per TradingView data at the time of writing, extending a rally that has run four straight sessions since August 11.

 

LINK price clears ten moving averages, one gap remains

The headline here isn’t that LINK is up. It’s what it took to get there. Every moving average (MA) from the 10-day through the 100-day, ten levels in total, now sits below the spot as support, a clean sweep that didn’t exist a week ago. 

 

Chainlink (LINK) price analysis. Source: TradingView
Chainlink (LINK) price analysis. Source: TradingView

 

That kind of structural clearing matters more than a single green candle, because it means the rally has been strong enough to pull price above averages spanning two weeks of trading to three months of trading simultaneously, not just spike through the nearest one and stall.

What’s left is genuinely narrow. The 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), at $9.5329, sits just $0.1315, or 1.4%, above spot. The Hull MA, at $9.5644, sits $0.1630, or 1.7%, above it. Two levels, sixteen cents apart, are the entire remaining distance between LINK and a chart with no resistance left on it at all. For a token that spent the back half of 2025 and most of 2026 trading below $9, that’s a remarkably small gap to be the last thing standing.

The oscillators complicate the clean read. The relative strength index (RSI) sits at 69.48, not yet overbought but close, while Stochastic RSI has already pushed to 93.90, deep into stretched territory. 

That split matters: it means the move has real momentum behind it, not just a slow grind, but momentum this fast this close to resistance tends to resolve within a session or two rather than consolidate patiently. The setup isn’t asking whether the breakout happens; it’s asking whether it happens before stretched oscillators force a pause.

 

Chainlink’s Obligate deal adds context to LINK price rally

Chainlink announced a SmartData integration with Obligate on August 14, bringing onchain net asset value data to Obligate’s oTFY trade-finance token, a $200 million-plus product already live on Kamino

 

 

It’s incremental rather than a fresh catalyst. Still, it’s continued execution on the same tokenization thesis Standard Chartered cited in its recent $200 long-term LINK target, adding real usage underneath a chart that’s already testing its own resistance.

 

LINK price outlook hinges on the 200-day EMA

A daily close above $9.5644 clears the entire moving average stack at once, the first time that would have happened since LINK’s slide began. 

Given how stretched the oscillators already are, the more useful question isn’t whether that level breaks; it’s whether it breaks on this attempt or needs a pullback into the newly reclaimed support first before trying again.

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Abhinav Tewari

Abhinav is a researcher and author specializing in cryptocurrency, blockchain, and Web3, translating complex protocols into actionable insight for institutions and builders. Drawing on experience across digital marketing, management, and research, he focuses on tokenization, stablecoins and payments, DeFi, and real‑world assets, with rigorous analysis of protocol economics, security, governance, and layer‑2 scalability.

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