Points of Focus

• BTC has cleared every moving average up to its 100-day, with the 200-day EMA at $82,093 now the defining resistance.
• ETH has pushed above its 100-day EMA for the first time since the February sell-off, while SOL and XRP remain trapped in range-bound consolidation.

CoinGlass derivatives data shows $171 million in short positions were liquidated in the 24 hours surrounding the move. Institutional demand accelerated simultaneously, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording $532 million in net inflows on May 4 alone, per SoSoValue data, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust accounting for $335.4 million of that total and Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund contributing a further $184.5 million.

The structural picture across the five tokens has shifted sharply over four days. On May 1, BTC was sitting at $77,184, holding above its short-term moving averages but nowhere near the $80,000 barrier. Today, at $80,903, it sits above every MA from the 10-day through the 100-day.

ETH has matched the move and is now trading above its 100-day EMA for the first time since the February collapse. Chainlink has cleared all of its moving averages below the 100-day on rising momentum. Solana and XRP, by contrast, remain effectively unchanged, pinned inside tight ranges by historically weak trend readings.

Can BTC sustain the break above $80,000 and pull the broader market with it? Let’s analyze the charts.

Bitcoin price prediction

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $80,903, above the 20-day EMA ($77,046), the 50-day EMA ($74,686), and the 100-day EMA ($75,983), but pressing against the 200-day EMA ($82,093) and the 200-day SMA ($83,421), which have rejected every significant rally attempt since the October 2025 peak.

The RSI at 67.63 is approaching the upper neutral zone but has not yet entered overbought territory, leaving headroom for further upside. The MACD is on a buy signal, and Momentum is positive, reflecting the genuine change in structure over the past two weeks.

The ADX at 27.49 indicates a moderately strengthening trend, the highest reading BTC has shown since the February lows. If BTC closes above the 200-day EMA at $82,093 and holds, the next target is the 200-day SMA at $83,421. A sustained close above $83,421 would be the first real signal that the downtrend from last year’s highs above $124,000 is reversing, and may open the path toward $88,000.

This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price stalls at the 200-day EMAs and turns lower. The 20-day EMA at $77,046 is the first meaningful support on a pullback, followed by the 50-day EMA at $74,686. A close below $74,686 would indicate the bulls have failed to convert the $80,000 break into a structural shift, and may invite a retest of the $72,000 to $68,000 zone.

Ethereum price prediction

Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $2,383, above the 20-day EMA ($2,306), the 50-day EMA ($2,260), and, critically, the 100-day EMA ($2,345), which the pair reclaimed in the current session for the first time since the February collapse.

The RSI at 59.38 is neutral-to-bullish, and Momentum is on a buy reading, reflecting the improved demand picture. The MACD is on a sell signal, a cautionary flag that internal momentum may be lagging the price move, and the ADX at 23.74 suggests the trend is still finding its footing.

If ETH holds above the 100-day EMA at $2,345 on any intraday pullback, the pair may extend toward $2,465, the upper boundary of the range that has contained price action since February. A close above $2,465 would open the path toward the 200-day EMA at $2,601.

On the downside, a break back below the 100-day EMA at $2,345 and a close under the 20-day EMA at $2,306 would suggest the claim was a false break. That increases the risk of a slide toward the 50-day EMA at $2,260 and, if that level fails, a retest of the $2,100 support zone. Sellers are likely to view any failed reclaim of the 100-day EMA as confirmation that the pair remains inside its broader downtrend.

Solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) is trading at $84.93, above the 20-day EMA ($84.68) and the 10-day EMA ($84.43) but below the 20-day SMA ($85.36), the 50-day EMA ($86.10), and the 50-day SMA ($85.16), all of which cluster within a two-dollar band directly above the current price.

The RSI at 50.25 is exactly at the midpoint, indicating a complete stalemate between buyers and sellers. The ADX at 8.75 is one of the lowest trend readings in the five-token set, indicating a lack of directional conviction. The MACD is on a sell signal, suggesting the path of least resistance remains to the downside.

While BTC’s break above $80,000 has improved the macro backdrop, SOL has not yet responded, and the flattish MA stack confirms that the recovery from February’s lows near $70 has stalled in the $80 to $90 range.

If buyers push SOL above the 50-day EMA at $86.10 and close above the 100-day SMA at $87.76, the pair may test the $90 level, which has capped every recovery attempt since January. A close above $90 would represent a meaningful shift and may bring $95 into view. Conversely, a break below the 20-day EMA at $84.68 would remove the last near-term support and expose the $80 level. A close below $80 may accelerate selling toward the $76 zone, the base established during the February capitulation.

XRP price prediction

XRP (XRP) is trading at $1.407, above the 10-day EMA ($1.396), the 20-day EMA ($1.396), and the 30-day EMA ($1.396), but testing the 50-day EMA ($1.407) as resistance, with the 20-day SMA ($1.413) and 100-day SMA ($1.427) stacked directly overhead.

The RSI at 52.40 is nudging above the midpoint, a mild positive, but the MACD remains on a sell signal, and the ADX at 12.06 indicates a weak and directionless trend. The convergence of the 50-day EMA, 20-day SMA, and 100-day SMA between $1.407 and $1.427 creates a dense resistance cluster that sellers have successfully defended on each approach.

If XRP closes above the 100-day SMA at $1.427 with conviction, the next meaningful test is the 100-day EMA at $1.506. A close above $1.506 may open the path to the $1.55 level, which marked the top of the post-February range.

On the downside, a failure to hold the 20-day EMA at $1.396 and the cluster of short-term EMAs would signal that the bulls have been turned away again. The XRP/USDT pair may then slide back toward the $1.27 support, where buyers are expected to mount a strong defense. A close below $1.27 puts the February low near $1.10 back in play.

Chainlink price prediction

Chainlink (LINK) is trading at $9.60, above the 20-day EMA ($9.25), the 50-day EMA ($9.23), the 50-day SMA ($9.09), and the 20-day SMA ($9.31). Of the five tokens, LINK is showing the strongest relative structure below its 100-day EMA, with the MACD on a buy signal and positive momentum.

The RSI at 59.70 is approaching the upper end of the neutral zone, and the CCI at 119.13 is elevated, indicating that price is trading well above its recent average. The 100-day EMA at $9.83 is the next and most important resistance level.

Every rally since February has stalled or reversed below this level. If LINK closes above $9.83, the pair may push toward the $10.00 psychological level. A sustained close above $10.00 would be the first clean bullish signal LINK has produced in months and may bring the $11.00 to $11.53 zone into view, where the 200-day moving averages sit.

On the downside, if the price falls below the 100-day EMA at $9.83 and the 20-day SMA at $9.31, it indicates that sellers remain active at the key resistance. The LINK/USDT pair may then pull back toward the 20-day EMA at $9.25 and the 50-day EMA at $9.23. A close below $9.09, the 50-day SMA, would negate the current bullish structure and open the door to a decline toward $8.50.