Points of Focus

• Author Robert Kiyosaki says he’s monitoring assets before deploying new capital.
• He centers his buying thesis around political and economic failure rather than price alone.
• Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average nears the technical floor Kiyosaki-style buyers historically watch most closely.

The ‘Rich Dad Poor Dad’ author posted on X on June 20 that he is monitoring Bitcoin, Ethereum, gold and silver for signs that their recent price declines have ended, stating that he will only buy when prices reverse.

Context over price

‘One mistake I have made, and I’ve made many, is letting price determine reasons to buy or sell any asset,’ Kiyosaki’s post began. 

He explained that when he evaluates real estate, he looks at job growth and local economic conditions rather than the listing price. He applies the same logic to precious metals and crypto, looking to monitor the environment, not the ticker.

Gold and silver prices are falling.

Q: Am I buying or selling?

A: One mistake I have made (and I’ve made many) is letting price determine reasons to buy or sell any asset.

I have learned to understand the “context” or the environment the asset is in….not the price.

For…

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) June 20, 2026

Kiyosaki also noted that the environment he is monitoring right now is not encouraging. ‘I think our global leaders are incompetent, only making things worse,’ he wrote. The author pointed to rising government and private debt, inflationary pressure and what he described as systemic economic mismanagement, the same conditions he has noted as the structural bull case for Bitcoin and hard assets since 2020.

JUST IN: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz over the last 24 hours. pic.twitter.com/x3P3QODSVg

— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) June 23, 2026

The macro backdrop had a part to play, perhaps. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard again declared the Strait of Hormuz closed over alleged ceasefire violations the same day Kiyosaki posted. 

This was before Vice President JD Vance dismissed the claim and US Central Command confirmed 55 ships carrying more than 17 million barrels of oil had moved through the strait on Saturday. Bitcoin price ascended on the news before settling near $64,000. 

Whether deliberate or not, the episode illustrated precisely the kind of geopolitical uncertainty Kiyosaki has always cited as his rationale for holding hard assets.

What a reversal looks like

Kiyosaki did not name specific indicators or price targets in his post. However, if his historical buying behavior and the technical landscape are to be believed, it could point us to a narrow set of levels where macro-oriented buyers like Kiyosaki typically act.

The 200-week moving average which is currently near $61,000 (at the time of writing) and rising, has marked Bitcoin’s bear market floor in every major cycle since 2015. 

Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick has said $59,000 was likely the cycle low for this drawdown, pointing to the 17-day ETF outflow streak ending in mid-June as a sign of capitulation. Bitcoin’s RSI hit 46.24 on June 18, 2026, the most oversold daily reading since the COVID crash of March 2020, a level that preceded a sustained recovery in every prior instance.

ETF flow data supports the uncertain stabilization thesis. Following $5.72 billion in cumulative outflows since the middle of May, 2026, institutional flows turned modestly positive in the week of June 16, 2026. This culminated in BlackRock’s IBIT recording three consecutive days of net inflows for the first time since April.

For a buyer like Kiyosaki who prefers to wait for confirmation rather than catching falling knives, a weekly close above $68,000 with sustained ETF inflow would represent the clearest technical reversal signal the current setup could produce. Bitcoin will have to break through the $71,762 to $73,405 resistance range to change wider market sentiment.