‘AI Will Kill Bitcoin’ Narrative Misguided, Analyst Points to Rising Hash Rate

 

By James Ademuyiwa // March 30, 2026 @ 12:34 PM
‘AI Will Kill Bitcoin’ Narrative Misguided, Analyst Points to Rising Hash Rate

Share

Points of Focus

  • Bitcoin’s mean hash rate hit all-time highs in 2026 even as the price sits 44% below its October 2025 peak.
  • HIVE Digital’s AI pivot toward $200M in HPC revenue came with a $91M quarterly net loss. 
  • MARA sold 15,133 BTC for $1.1 billion to retire convertible debt at a 9% discount.

 

Historically, every bear market has always needed a villain. In 2022 it was the death of easy liquidity alongside the collapses of Terraform Labs and FTX. Fast forward to 2026, and the narrative has shifted to AI consuming all the electricity. Doomsayers are getting louder, arguing that data centers are outbidding miners for power and pushing them to the margins. 

 

According to the theory, this is forcing Bitcoin into irrelevance. But on-chain analyst Willy Woo is pushing back hard, and the data is on his side.

 

‘AI Will Kill Bitcoin’ Narrative Misguided, Analyst Points to Rising Hash Rate
‘AI Will Kill Bitcoin’ Narrative Misguided, Analyst Points to Rising Hash Rate

 

Bitcoin’s mean hash rate just hit fresh all-time highs in 2026, even as the price sits roughly 44% below its October 2025 peak near $125,000. This shows the network isn’t dying. Instead, it’s adapting.

 

What the chart shows

Hash rate is a measure of the total computing power securing the Bitcoin network. When it rises, it means more miners are investing serious resources to keep the chain running.

 

That doesn’t happen in a dying industry. It happens when miners believe the current low prices are temporary and that future rewards will make their investment worthwhile.

 

 

Glassnode data shows this pattern has played out in every major Bitcoin bear market. Hash rate usually drops for a short time along with the price, then quickly recovers and hits new highs. The current cycle is following the exact same script.

 

AI argument misses how Bitcoin actually works

The “AI will kill Bitcoin” claim is built on one idea: that data centers make more money than Bitcoin mining, so miners will shut down and the hash rate will crash.

 

But this fundamentally misses how Bitcoin is designed.

 

When miners leave the network, Bitcoin’s difficulty adjustment automatically lowers the computing power needed to mine the next block. This makes mining cheaper and more profitable for the miners who stay. The network quickly rebalances itself.

 

Fred Kruger explained it in March 2026. If AI outbids miners for electricity, miners simply turn off their machines until the difficulty adjusts. That’s exactly how Bitcoin works.

 

 

The HIVE Digital example shows how messy the switch can be in reality. HIVE scaled back Bitcoin mining at its Swedish site to chase AI computing, aiming for $200 million in yearly high-performance computing revenue. Instead, the move pushed the company from profit into a $91.33 million net loss in a single quarter. The pivot turned out to be far more expensive and difficult than expected.

 

Even though the AI thesis assumes a smooth, profitable switch, real life is proving far more complicated.

 

MARA’s $1.1 billion Bitcoin sale

On the third week of March, 2026  the miner’s selling story became very real. MARA Holdings sold 15,133 BTC for about $1.1 billion between March 4 and March 25, 2026. The company used the money to buy back roughly $1 billion of its convertible notes at a 9% discount. This move saved them around $88 million and cut their total convertible debt from $3.3 billion down to $2.3 billion.

 

However, the sale pushed MARA from the second-largest to the third-largest public Bitcoin holder. Twenty One Capital moved up into second place, without buying a single coin.

 

 

Despite the big sale, MARA’s stock rose 10% after the announcement. The market clearly rewarded a stronger balance sheet over holding more Bitcoin. That’s a clear signal of where miner priorities stand right now.

 

What the bulls are missing

Hash rate strength signals network security. It does not guarantee price recovery. A network can be maximally secure while price continues falling if demand-side conditions stay weak.

 

The honest read on current data is that Bitcoin’s security infrastructure is stronger than its price implies. And the hash rate continues climbing regardless. The gap between network fundamentals and market price is the most relevant tension in Bitcoin right now, and neither side of the debate has fully resolved it.

Share

James Ademuyiwa

James Ademuyiwa is a DeFi strategist, educator, and PhD researcher specializing in decentralized finance. With hands-on experience leading blockchain initiatives at major firms and co-founding a successful startup, he brings sharp market insight to digital asset education. He currently lectures on blockchain, digital assets, and the future of finance for global executive education programs, bridging theory and practice in the Web3 landscape.

Latest Podcast

Mar 17 2026 / Length: 36:29
Mar 6 2026 / Length: 46:59
Feb 27 2026 / Length: 23:56
Feb 5 2026 / Length: 55:34
Wise Prize - Pulse by Alphawire

For this week’s episode of Pulse, Aldo…

Jan 26 2026 / Length: 45:05

Ad

Related Articles